Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.765184e-03 0.001947 0.002130 0.002327 0.002534 0.002742 0.002969
2024-12-15 1.476754e-03 0.001745 0.002023 0.002332 0.002663 0.003006 0.003386
2024-12-22 1.235880e-03 0.001567 0.001922 0.002326 0.002769 0.003238 0.003767
2024-12-29 1.069528e-03 0.001453 0.001876 0.002371 0.002924 0.003518 0.004199
2025-01-05 9.259487e-04 0.001350 0.001833 0.002409 0.003067 0.003782 0.004611
2025-01-12 7.930266e-04 0.001246 0.001778 0.002428 0.003181 0.004012 0.004984
2025-01-19 6.421099e-04 0.001105 0.001668 0.002373 0.003205 0.004135 0.005236
2025-01-26 5.381013e-04 0.001012 0.001608 0.002370 0.003284 0.004317 0.005549
2025-02-02 4.526176e-04 0.000933 0.001559 0.002376 0.003368 0.004502 0.005864
2025-02-09 4.150469e-04 0.000916 0.001586 0.002472 0.003558 0.004807 0.006316
2025-02-16 3.748503e-04 0.000891 0.001598 0.002548 0.003723 0.005083 0.006733
2025-02-23 2.826286e-04 0.000775 0.001483 0.002457 0.003683 0.005115 0.006867
2025-03-02 2.070430e-04 0.000680 0.001398 0.002413 0.003710 0.005244 0.007134
2025-03-09 1.589820e-04 0.000622 0.001361 0.002431 0.003817 0.005468 0.007516
2025-03-16 1.149952e-04 0.000561 0.001316 0.002434 0.003903 0.005669 0.007873
2025-03-23 8.794115e-05 0.000527 0.001307 0.002486 0.004052 0.005946 0.008320
2025-03-30 6.410875e-05 0.000492 0.001294 0.002530 0.004189 0.006209 0.008751
2025-04-06 4.208190e-05 0.000450 0.001266 0.002552 0.004296 0.006435 0.009138
2025-04-13 1.862468e-05 0.000383 0.001188 0.002498 0.004302 0.006534 0.009373
2025-04-20 7.335658e-06 0.000341 0.001149 0.002496 0.004375 0.006715 0.009704
2025-04-27 1.555037e-06 0.000305 0.001116 0.002502 0.004456 0.006905 0.010046
2025-05-04 4.806130e-07 0.000303 0.001146 0.002601 0.004662 0.007250 0.010576
2025-05-11 1.245968e-11 0.000294 0.001163 0.002680 0.004840 0.007561 0.011063